For most of today Tideswell was at the bottom end of a shower stream extending SE from the Cumbrian coast, across Preston and Manchester to the Peak District. The showers weren’t heavy but it ended up a rather dreary, damp day. The shower stream finally fizzled out around dusk.
It looks like we’ll see a gradual cooling down during the remainder of the week and, by Friday, the temperature will struggle to get above 0° in Tideswell. There could be a little snow at the end of the week above about 200-250m but, at present, it looks like amounts will be small.
Today (Thursday) there was a persistent low overcast in the Peak District giving extensive hill fog above about 400m. There were spells of slight rain and drizzle but totals were quite small.
The very unsettled weather looks set to continue through the weekend and into the start of next week. Over the next few days the Peak District will experience some very strong winds with squally showers and, as the temperatures slowly fall, there’ll be some wintry precipitation at the highest levels. Although it will be very unsettled the rainfall totals are not expected to be particularly large, with 35-40 mm predicted to accumulate over the next 5 days, as the animation below shows.
Temperatures are expected to ease downwards during next week and there is a possibility of significant snowfall by the end of the week. That’s far from being a certainty at this stage, only a possibility.
In Tideswell there was a short spell of thick fog just before dawn but before sunrise this had gone. During the morning there was broken cloud and sunny periods but in the afternoon pre-frontal high and middle level cloud spread across the sky.
Over the Peak District as a whole there were very light winds all day. Valley fog persisted all day and there was patchy hill foog for much of the day.
The following photos were taken around 3 p,m. showing the persistent fog in the valley of the River Wye through Miller’s Dale. The photos were taken looking approximately due south from a height of 325 metres a.s.l. just outside Tideswell on the lane to the neighbouring village of Litton. The bottom of the Wye Valley is about 195 metres a.s.l. and is about 1.5 miles from where the photos were taken.
The very unsettled weather looks set to continue over the Peak District for the rest of the week witj spells of very wet weather. There is potential for some very windy conditions during Friday and Saturday.
It’s looking increasingly likely that from the weekend into next week we will see increasingly colder weather. The detail of this remains very uncertain but there is a small probability that it could evolve into a situation that produces significant snowfall over the Peak district.
The morning started very wet across the Peak District. Although the intensity of the rain eased a bit it continued till around midday. What a change in the afternoon. The rain ceased and the cloud broke to give a dry afternoon with sunny spells. It was quite breezy, though.
This evening under clear skies the temperature is falling quite quickly and is currently getting close to 0° in Tideswell. There’s a frosty night to come and a lot of windscreen clearing for early morning drivers tomorrow.
Unsettled weather is expected to persist through the remainder of this week with spells of rain continuing to affect the Peak District. Next week’s weather is still very uncertain but some of the computer models are continuing to hint at a trend towards much colder weather. Watch this space!
There was a low overcast in the Peak District for much of the day with extensive hill fog above 400m. In Tideswell there was slight rain and drizzle for a lot of the day. Some cloud breaks appeared for a time around dusk but too late for any sunshine. Even by Tidewell standards we’re having a remarkably dull spell. In the past 14 days we’ve had a total of only 8.9 hours of sunshine and 4.6 of those came on one day.
Today has been an exceptionally mild day for December. It felt more like October.
Unsettled weather looks like carrying on for much of the coming week though, as the animation below shows, rainfall amounts in the Peak District are expected to be relatively small.
Looking into next weekend and beyond there are some fairly strong hints from some of the computer models that we could be heading for a spell of much colder weather. There’s great uncertainty about this yet but there is the possibility that by the middle of the month the weather could be causing some travel disruption around the Peak District.
There was a low overcast over the Peak District all day giving extensive hill fog above 250-300m. In Tideswell there was almost continuous slight drizzle with some slight rain mixed in from time to time. Overall, a day to forget.
Over the next few days the very unsettled weather will continue withe spells of rain from time to time. It’ll be mostly quite mild and perhaps windy at times, though there is a possibility of some sleet or wet snow temporarily over higher parts on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
There are some early hints of a possible change to colder weather setting in from next weekend onwards but, this far ahead, there’s great uncertainty about that so it’s well short of being a firm forecast.
No time for any graphics this evening!
Friday was a much more pleasant day in the Peak District. Broken cloud allowed sunny periods every where. There were a few showers around but in Tideswell we managed to miss them all. It was a cooler day with a max temp in Tideswell of 7.4° and there was a cool breeze. Nevertheless, it was a splendid day for outdoor activities.
The satellite image below shows the situation in the middle of the day, with the greater part of England almost cloud-free. Skies were mostly cloudy just north of the Peak District but we were fortunate and remained in the sunnier conditions.
Over the next few days the very changeable weather will continue in the Peak District. On Saturday morning there’ll be a spell of wet weather and another on Sunday morning. Outside of these spells there’ll be more broken cloud and showers.
On Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning a low pressure centre is expected to move E or NE across the British Isles. If this low centre passes to the south of the Peak District it is possible that we could have a spell of sleet or snow. This is far from being a certainty and if it does happen the snow would be of the ‘here today, gone tomorrow’ variety.
Looking further ahead, there are some hints from the computer models that we could be in for some rather colder weather towards the middle of December. It’s still too far ahead to have any confidence in the model predictions but the possibility is there.
It was a wet and windy morning over the Peak District today with SSE gales in exposed parts, especially at higher levels. In Tideswell the wind got up to Force 7 with a maximum gust of 53 m.p.h.
Towards the end of the morning a sharply-defined cold front swept quickly east across the Peak District. This show up well on the following satellite image from the middle of the day. The shadow of the high cloud is clearly visible over southern England and the English Channel.
In Tideswell, the cold front went through at about 11:30 a.m. accompanied by a brief burst of torrential rain with a max rate of 80 mm/hr. There was a sharp fall in temperature as the front went through, followed by a more gradual fall. The first part of the afternoon was dry with a few short sunny intervals but later in the afternoon it became showery and the showers became increasingly heavy into the evening.
For the forseeable future (i.e. up to about a week ahead) it looks like we shall be stuck in a run of very unsettled weather with a succession of fronts and low pressure centres moving in from the Atlantic. These will bring spells of mild, wet and windy weather alternating with spells of colder, showery weather across the Peak District. Very changeable will sum it up very well. There’s no sign of anything particularly cold but it is possible that we may see a short spell of wintry precipitation above 250-300m during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
Beyond next week is very uncertain but there’s currently no sign of the changeable weather coming to an end and no sign of anything notably cold.
Not a very nice day in Tideswell today. There was slight to moderate rain and drizzle for most of the time with only one or two brief dry interludes. It was a windy day with the SSE wind peaking at Force 6 in the early afternoon with a max gust of 48 m.p.h. It was a very mild day, though, with a max temp in Tideswell of 11.7°.
There’s a bit of a lull in the weather now but there’s a storm brewing for Thursday morning. The satellite image below shows a mass of cloud to the west of the Iberian Peninsula. This is a developing low pressure centre that’s headed our way for Thursday.
This low will run rapidly NE and deepen, probably crossing the British Isles during tomorrow. It’s likely to bring very strong S-SW winds across much of England and Wales during daytime on Thursday. In Tideswell we could see gusts as highas 50-60 m.p.h. on Thursday morning. That’s stronger than anything we had on Wednesday. More unsettled weather is expected through till the weekend.
The animation below shows the expected developments over the next 30 hours or so.
Tuesday began with thick fog in Tideswell. As the SE wind freshened this lifted into low cloud and, although the morning stayed dry, it became decidedly raw in the strengthening wind with the temperature only just creeping up to 3°.
Slight rain started around 1230z and as the intensity increased it turned to moderate sleet just after 1300z. The sleet carried on until about 1345z but then, with the temperature just creeping up, it turned back to rain. We then had moderate to heavy rain till about 1730z. After the rain ceased we have gone back to thick fog and slight drizzle. The current (2030z) temperature is 5.1° and that’s the highest it has been all day.
The satellite image below, from the middle of the day, shows the cloud from the frontal system over the the country and a great mass of cloud to the SW heralding another wet and wind day tomorrow.
Over the next week Atlantic weather systems will dominate our weather. In Tideswell we’ll see spells of wet and very mild weather alternating with spells of brighter and somewhat cooler weather but it’s almost impossible to put any sort of reliable detail on the predictions. One thing that does look pretty certain is that tomorrow (Wednesday) will be particularly windy. Even in Tideswell, which is relatively sheltered, we may well see southerly winds gusting to over 50 m.p.h.. For the following few days the wind will be a significant feature of the weather.
The first animation below shows a prediction of the evolution of the weather systems over the next 5 days.
The second animation shows one computer model’s idea of the accumulating precipitation over the next 16 days. This indicates well over 100 mm in the Peak District.
The detail shown in these animations cannot be relied on but they do indicate a lengthy spell of very unsettled weather which will often be mild and will be largely frost-free.